Risk, read from the chain
Read the signs.
Traceplain reads the flow of funds through a crypto yield system, on-chain, and turns it into a clear risk reading, with the evidence and the uncertainty behind it.
More money is leaving than coming in.
Payouts slowed for 5 days while deposits held steady. Confidence is limited because coverage is partial.
- Outflow vs inflow, last 10 days1.4×
- Days with slower payouts5 of 10
- Wallets funding payouts3 → 2
Scam lists run on reports. A system that still pays has none.
Most tools that flag risky crypto projects depend on complaints or on someone having labelled the wallets first. While a yield scheme keeps paying, almost nobody complains, so it can stay off every database for months, sometimes even after it has stopped paying.
Traceplain doesn't wait for reports. It reads the money itself: how much comes in, how much is paid out, how fast, and through which wallets. Not who is behind them: the flows alone say enough. Those flows are public on-chain from day one, and they change shape when a system comes under strain.
Who's behind it
I'm Ignacio Arechaga, a software architect with more than 12 years designing and running business-critical systems: high-traffic eCommerce, event-driven platforms that process millions of events a minute, and payments.
Traceplain comes from my own experience. I took part in one of these yield schemes, one that promised 2% a day, and got my deposit out in time. In at least three that came after, I didn't: when they stopped paying, my funds stayed inside, like those of many other people.
Afterwards I went through how those schemes and others collapsed, flow by flow, on-chain. The signs were there, public, before each collapse, but nobody had turned them into something a person can read. Traceplain is built on that analysis, with the evidence in plain view.
What a reading tells you
Evidence, not prophecy.
Phase
Where the system's flows are today: growth, stable, stress, pre-collapse or collapse.
Risk level
From low to severe, always with a label and an icon, never colour alone. A description, not advice.
Evidence
The signals behind the reading, so you can check the reasoning instead of trusting a verdict.
Confidence
How complete the data is. Partial coverage is shown, never hidden.
How it works
- 01
Add a system
Start from the wallets you know it uses. Traceplain maps the rest from on-chain evidence.
- 02
It reads the flows
Deposits, payouts and the wallets between them become behavioural signals over time.
- 03
You get a reading
A phase and a risk level, with the evidence and the confidence behind them.
Method and limits
What it reads, and what it can't promise.
- Public data onlyUSDT and USDC transfers on TRON, Ethereum and BNB Smart Chain (BEP-20), with more to come, read from the chain. A system that runs on several networks at once is read as a single system. Read-only: no wallet connection, no keys, no access to your funds.
- Deterministic signalsInflows against outflows, payout cadence, the wallets that fund payouts and how they change, reserve drawdown. A rules engine you can audit, not a black box.
- A low risk level guarantees nothingSome systems fail without warning in their flows, and coverage is sometimes partial. The reading says so when it is.
- Not financial adviceTraceplain describes risk and the evidence behind it. It never tells you to enter, stay or leave.
Questions
Is this financial advice?
No. Traceplain describes the risk it observes in public on-chain flows and shows the evidence behind it. The risk belongs to the system, not to you: it reads the system's flows, never your portfolio or your situation, so two people looking at the same system with the same settings see exactly the same risk. It doesn't tell you what to do with your money, and a low risk level is not a guarantee.
What is crowdfunding?
A way to fund a project with the support of the people who want it to exist: backers pledge to it, usually in exchange for early access or rewards. Traceplain will run a crowdfunding campaign to fund its first public version; backers get early-bird pricing. The platform and the exact terms will be announced to the list before it opens.
When does it launch?
Before launching the crowdfunding campaign we're building a base of people who care about the problem, so the campaign starts with real support behind it and has the best chance to succeed. That's what this list is for. Join, and you'll hear about the campaign first, with the exact date at least a week ahead.
Do you name projects as scams?
No. Readings describe observed behaviour. Public examples use systems that have already collapsed, anonymised.
Which networks and assets?
USDT and USDC on TRON, Ethereum and BNB Smart Chain (BEP-20), including systems that span several of them at once: their flows are read together, as one system. More networks and assets to come.
What do you do with my email?
Send you the weekly email with Traceplain's news and, when the time comes, the notice that the crowdfunding campaign is open: one email a week. No sharing or selling. You confirm your address first (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe from any email. See the privacy policy.